Author, date and country | Patient group | Study type (level of evidence) | Outcomes | Key results | Study Weaknesses |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bauer S.J., Hollander J.E. et al 1995 USA | 207 patients with acute knee injuries assessed with standardised history and examination tool. Physician predicted likelihood of fracture before radiography. Most underwent radiology to determine sensitivity and specificity of rule and likelihood of fracture from examination. | Decision rule / cohort | Sensitivity and specificity of criteria from history and examination associated with higher incidence of fracture. | 100% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value for fracture with inability to weight bear OR effusion OR ecchymosis OR severe joint line tenderness OR severe localised swelling. | Small sample size. Potential selection bias as not all patients x-rayed. Clinician’s compliance with standardised tool not assessed. |
Sensitivity and specificity of clinicial prediction of fracture. | 56% sensitivity and 91% specificity of physician prediction of fracture | ||||
Simon L.V., Matteucci M.J. et al 2006 USA | 152 consecutive patients with acute knee injuries assessed by triage nurse and physician using Pittsburgh rule. All underwent radiology. Level of inter-observer agreement calculated. | Cohort | Kappa coefficient for need for x-ray | K = 0.83 ‘almost perfect’ for overall need for x-ray | Small sample size. Patient group included children. Higher fracture rate than other studies (8.6%) |
Kappa coefficient for blunt trauma/fall | K = 0.67 ‘substantial’ | ||||
Kappa coefficient for age <12 or >50 years | K = 1.0 ‘almost perfect’ | ||||
Kappa coefficient for ability to walk 4 weight-bearing steps in ED | K = 0.67 ‘substantial’ | ||||
Sensitivity and specificity of rule | Sensitivity 77%, specificity 57% (physicians), 58% (nurses) | ||||
Weber J.E., Jackson R.E. et al 1995 USA | 242 patients with acute knee injuries (less than 24 hours old) assessed for lengthy standardised history and examination criteria. Physician predicted likelihood of fracture before x-ray. Most underwent radiography to determine sensitivity and specificity of criteria, and clinician’s prediction of fracture. | Decision rule | Sensitivity and specificity of criteria individually and combined. | Age over 50 crude odds ratio = 4.0 | Small sample size. Potential selection bias as not all underwent radiography. Patients excluded if knee injury sustained >24hours previously. Subjective criteria used, eg severity of effusion. Clinician’s compliance with standardised tool not assessed. |
Sensitivity and specificity of rule criteria (ability to walk without limping AND twist injury without effusion | Sensitivity = 0.86, specificity = 0.83, misclassification rate = 58% |