Author, date and country | Patient group | Study type (level of evidence) | Outcomes | Key results | Study Weaknesses |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bassan et al 2005 Brazil | 631 consecutive patients presenting to the Emergency Department with suspected cardiac chest pain <12 hours and no ST elevation on ECG. Blood taken on admission. Follow-up through in-patient stay. | Prospective observational cohort | Association between BNP and diagnosis | Significantly higher BNP in MI patients (P<0.0001). Increasing risk of MI with increasing BNP (divided into quartiles; P<0.0001). | No follow-up following hospital discharge. 30-day and 6-month follow-up would be desirable. No firm diagnosis in 202 (32%) patients (MI excluded but not UA). |
Diagnostic accuracy of BNP for MI (optimal 100pg/ml cut-off) | Area under ROC curve 0.710. Sensitivity 70.8%; Specificity 68.9%; PPV 22.7%; NPV 94.8%; LR+ 2.28; LR- 0.42. RR 4.38 | ||||
Raised BNP, CK-MB or TnI (on admission) for diagnosis of MI | Sensitivity 87.3%; Specificity 65.7%; PPV 27.0%; NPV 97.3%; LR+ 2.55; LR- 0.19. RR 9.91 | ||||
Logistic regression model for association with MI | BNP an independent predictor for diagnosis of MI (P=0.0026). | ||||
Clinical utility of BNP to rule in MI | Authors' note: 72 patients had MI, 37 of whom had raised CK-MB or TnI on admission. Raised BNP would have allowed detection of 22 more MI's [albeit at a cost of 163 false +ve diagnoses!] | ||||
Value of BNP in ruling out MI (calculated) | For every 100 patients treated according to BNP levels on admission (cut-off 100pg/ml), 3 MI's would be missed. | ||||
Morrow et al 2003 United States | 1676 patients (of 2220), enrolled in TACTICS-TIMI 18 (early invasive v. conservative strategy), with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTACS) and symptoms in the last 24 hours. Blood taken "at enrollment". Follow-up at 6 months. | Nested prospective observational cohort | Elevated plasma BNP in UA (>80pg/ml) | Raised in 15.6% (n=167) [i.e. sensitivity 15.6%], and 10.1% (n=67) of those with -ve baseline TnI. Elevated BNP in 13.6% (n=135) of patients with UA and no history or current evidence of HF. | Patients enrolled having already been diagnosed with ACS (an undifferentiated group of patients would have enabled more clinically relevant conclusions to be drawn). Insufficient data reported to allow calculation of specificities, PPV's, NPV's or LR's. |
Elevated plasma BNP in NSTEMI (>80pg/ml) | Raised in 25.2% [i.e. sensitivity 25.2%] (n=153) | ||||
Death at 30 days (BNP cut-off 80pg/ml) | 5.0% raised v. 1.2% not raised (P<0.0001). Calculated sensitivity 80.6%. | ||||
Death at 6 months (BNP cut-off 80pg/ml) | 8.4% raised v. 1.8% not raised (P<0.0001). Calculated sensitivity 82%. | ||||
Death at 7 days (BNP cut-off 80pg/ml) | 2.5% raised v. 0.74% not raised. Calculated sensitivity 77%. | ||||
Association between BNP and 6/12 mortality after adjustment for important clinical predictors available at presentation | Remained an independent predictor of mortality (OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.7-6.3). | ||||
BNP for prediction of recurrent MI | Not predictive (5.3% v. 5.2%, p=1.0) | ||||
BNP for prediction of hospitilisation with recurrent ACS | Not predictive (13.4% v. 12.2%, p=0.6). | ||||
BNP for prediction of new or worsening CHF | 30 days: Significantly increased risk with raised BNP (5.9% v. 1.0%, p<0.0001). 6 months: Risk persisted (9.1% v. 1.8%, P<0.0001). | ||||
BNP + TnI for prediction of 6/12 mortality | Both -ve: 0.7% risk of death. | ||||
Death with conservative/early invasive treatment according to BNP results | No appreciable difference (p=0.6 for 6/12 mortality). | ||||
de Lemos et al 2001 United States | 2525 patients with ACS (825 STEMI, 565 NSTEMI, 1133 UA) enrolled into another study investigating GPIIb/IIIa inhibitors. Blood sent at a mean of 40+/-20 hours from symptom onset. | Prospective observational cohort | Baseline characteristics | Patients with higher BNP more likely to be older (P<0.001), male (P<0.001), hypertensive (P<0.003), have CHF (P<0.001, hypercholesterolaemia (P<0.001), smokers (P<0.001), to have reduced creatinine clearance (P<0.001), CK-MB > upper limit of normal (P<0.001) or ST segment depression (P<0.001). | Very late sampling time. ACS had already been ruled in for this patient group at time of inclusion (by ECG or cardiac marker testing). Inadequate reporting of data to allow calculation of sensitivities, specificities, PPVs, NPVs or likelihood ratios. |
Correlation of BNP with angiography/stress test | Patients with higher BNP more likely to have >50% stenosis (P<0.001) or +ve stress test (P<0.01) than patients with low levels | ||||
BNP as an independent predictor of death (after adjustment using logistic regression) | Adjusted OR's for death at 10 months in 2nd, 3rd & 4th quartiles of BNP were 3.8 (95% CI 1.1-13.3), 4.0 (1.2-13.7) and 5.8 (1.7-19.7), respectively. | ||||
Value of a BNP cutoff of 80pg/ml as an independent predictor of mortality (adjusted) | BNP remain significantly associated with increased 10-month mortality (P=0.04). | ||||
Mega et al 2004 United States | 438 eligible (of 483) patients enrolled in the ENTIRE-TIMI 23 trial (full v. half dose thrombolysis + abciximab and LMWH or heparin in STEMI < 6hours). Blood sampling on admission, before thrombolysis. | Nested prospective observational cohort | 30-day mortality (reported results) | Significantly higher BNP among those who died (P<0.0001). BNP>80pg/ml associated with significantly higher risk of death (P<0.0001). | All patients had STEMI already ruled in by ECG - the study is not helpful to evaluate BNP as a diagnostic test for MI. |
30-day mortality (values calculated using reported data) | BNP>80pg/ml: Sensitivity 53%, specificity 91%, PPV 17%, NPV 98.2% (i.e. 1.8% chance of death despite -ve BNP); LR+ 5.9; LR- 0.5 | ||||
New or worsening CHF at 30 days | More frequent if BNP>80pg/ml (8.7% v. 3.3%, p=0.09). | ||||
New or worsening CHF at 30 days (calculated) | BNP>80pg/ml: Sensitivity 23.5%; Specificity 90%; PPV 8.7%; NPV 96.7% (i.e. probability of CHF despite -ve BNP 3.3%); LR+ 2.35; LR- 0.7. | ||||
Independent predictors of mortality following logistic regression | BNP remained independently associated with mortality (OR 7.2, 95% CI 2.1-24.5, P=0.001). | ||||
BNP as a predictor of successful myocardial reperfusion | Elevated BNP associated with incomplete reperfusion (impaired flow, P=0.04; poor myocardial perfusion, P=0.06; Failed ST-segment resolution, P=0.005). | ||||
Mukoyama et al 1991 Japan | 13 consecutive patients with AMI < 12 hours from symptom onset. Blood samples at enrollment and every 4-24 hours over 4 days. | Prospective diagnostic cohort | BNP levels | Rose after AMI (within "hours" of onset of AMI). | Small numbers Subopimal reporting of results. Little statistical analysis. Meaningful conclusions cannot be drawn about the value of BNP as a diagnostic test. |
Correlation of BNP with PCWP and CIn | No correlation with PCWP. Highly correlated inversely with CIn (r=-0.81, P<0.01). | ||||
Morita et al 1993 Japan | 50 consecutive patients with AMI within 8 hours of symptom onset. 30 age- and sex-matched controls. Blood taken on admission. All patients had coronary angiography on admission. 10 had intracoronary thrombolysis, 11 had IV thrombolysis; 26 had PTCA. | Prospective diagnostic cohort | BNP level on admission | Significantly increased with AMI v. controls (92+/-28 v. 5.2+/-0.5pg/ml; P<0.01) | Diagnosis of MI had already been ruled in at enrollment. Investigating application in an undifferentiated group would be more clinically relevant. |
Peak BNP level in MI patients | Peak level at 16.4+/-0.7 hours after admission | ||||
BNP levels at four weeks | Still significantly higher in MI group than controls (149+/-47 v. 5.2+/-0.5pg/ml; P<0.001). | ||||
Correlation between BNP and haemodynamic parameters | No correlation with PCWP; No correlation with CIn in 1st 2 days; Significant inverse correlation with CIn at time of peak BNP level (r=-0.476, P<0.01). | ||||
Kikuta et al 1995 Japan | 73 patients (already diagnosed) with either UA (n=33), SA (n=20) or atypical chest pain with normal coronary angiogram, stress test and hyperventilation test (n=20). Blood taken within 24 hours of last attack in UA group. | Prospective diagnostic cohort | BNP levels | Significantly higher in UA group compared with SA and controls (P<0.01 for each). No significant difference between SA and controls. | 16 of UA group had ST elevation on ECG. CK-MB < twice normal but no troponin testing. These patients may actually have had MI. Results not useful for clinical evaluation of BNP as a diagnostic test (sensitivities, specificities, etc, cannot be calculated; patients had already been diagnosed at enrollment). |
BNP levels according to ST elevation or depression | No significant difference | ||||
BNP levels following treatment | BNP decreased significantly (P<0.01) in UA group but not SA group. | ||||
Regional wall motion abnormalities on echocardiography | Significantly higher BNP if +ve for this outcome (P<0.01). | ||||
Horio et al 1993 Japan | 16 patients admitted to CCU with AMI within 9 hours of symptom onset. All patients had right-sided cardiac catheterisation, coronary angiography and primary angioplasty. 16 normal subjects. Blood taken on admission and serially on days 3, 7, 14 and 28 | Prospective observational cohort | BNP levels on day 1 | Higher in AMI patients than controls (4.5 fold on day 1). No P value. | Small numbers Method of identification of normal subjects not described. Not all pertinent P values given. This study suggests raised BNP in AMI but, because of the design, data cannot be used to evaluate BNP as a diagnostic test for AMI. |
BNP levels at follow up | Significantly elevated in AMI patients at 14 days; still "abnormally elevated" at 4 weeks (no P values). | ||||
Correlation between BNP and haemodynamic variables | No correlation with PCWP, right atrial pressure or CIn. Significant inverse correlation with LVEF (r=-0.67, P<0.01). |