Author, date and country | Patient group | Study type (level of evidence) | Outcomes | Key results | Study Weaknesses |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Varo et al 2003 United States | 195 cases and 195 controls taken from the placebo arm of the OPUS-TIMI16 trial (which investigated GPIIb/IIIa inhibitors in patients with unstable acute coronary syndromes). Cases were defined as death, myocardial infarction (MI) or new or progressive congestive heart failure (CHF) during 10-month follow up. Blood taken within 72 hours of symptom onset | Case-control study | sCD40L levels | Significantly higher in cases v. controls (p=0.002) | Case-control study is a convenient but suboptimal study design to meet the stated aims. Inclusion criteria were not adequately described. |
Incidence of death/MI/CHF according to sCD40L level (quartiles) | Adjusted hazard ratios 2.0 (p=0.05) and 2.4 (p=0.01) for levels in 3rd and 4th quartiles, respectively | ||||
Multivariate analysis | sCD40L levels remained associated with higher risk of death (p=0.026), MI (p=0.011) and death/MI/CHF (p=0.015). | ||||
Incidence of death/MI/CHF if troponin I and sCD40L both low | 4.6% incidence (8/175) | ||||
Heeschen et al 2003 Germany | 1088 patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) who had been included in the CAPTURE trial (placebo v. abciximab). "Baseline" blood samples (sample time not stated). Follow-up at 30 days and 6 months. A separate validation sample of 626 consecutive patients presenting with chest pain <12 hours with no ST elevation on ECG. Follow-up at 30 days. Platelet activation was assessed by flow cytometry in a subgroup of 161 patients with chest pain | Prospective observational cohort | Correlation of CD40L with troponin T or CRP | No correlation (r=0.14 and 0.11, respectively) | Time of samples not stated. Blood samples only available for 86% of patients enrolled in the CAPTURE trial. Although CD40L levels are associated with increased risk of death or MI, the results are not clinically meaningful (cannot rule ACS in or out on the basis of these results) |
CD40L>5ug/l for prediction of adverse events at 72 hours | 13.1% v. 4.3% (p<0.001). This gives sensitivity 67%, specificity 62%. Following +ve test, probability of event = 13%. Following -ve test, probability = 4%. | ||||
CD40L>5ug/l for prediction of adverse events at 30 days | 14.5% v. 5.3% (p<0.001). This gives sensitivity 65%, specificity 62%. Following +ve test, probability of event = 15%. Following -ve test, probability = 9.5%. | ||||
CD40L>5ug/l for prediction of adverse events at 6 months | 18.6% v. 7.1% (p<0.001). This gives sensitivity 64%, specificity 62.5%. Following +ve test, probability of event = 18.5%. Following -ve test, probability = 7%. | ||||
CD40L levels in patients with acute chest pain | Significantly higher in patients with ACS (p<0.001). Higher risk of death/MI with CD40L>5ug/l (adjusted hazard ratio 6.65, p<0.001). | ||||
Correlation between CD40L levels and platelet activation | Strong positive correlation (r=0.75, p<0.001) | ||||
Yan et al 2004 China | 128 patients with ACS with recurrent resting chest pain plus ECG changes and >70% stenosis at coronary angiography. 68 patients with acute chest pain <6 hours and no ST elevation. Follow-up at 1 and 6 months. Timing of blood sample not stated. | Prospective observational cohort | Major adverse cardiovascular events at 30 days and 6 months | Higher incidence with increasing sCD40L (p<0.0001 at both times; patients split into three groups according to sCD40L level for analysis) | Blood sample time not stated Primary outcomes not clearly defined No statistical analysis reported in acute chest pain group |
Correlation of sCD40L with troponin T levels | Weak positive correlation (r=0.21, p=0.0369) | ||||
sCD40L levels in patients with acute chest pain | Significantly higher levels in those subsequently diagnosed with ACS (no statistical analysis reported) | ||||
Yan et al 2004 China | 12 with acute MI (AMI), 20 with unstable angina (UA), 24 with stable angina (SA) undergoing diagnostic coronary angiography and 16 healthy controls Time of sampling not stated | Prospective observational study | Plasma sCD40L levels | Higher in patients with UA (10.0+/-3.4ug/l) or AMI (10.6+/-3.8) compared with SA patients or controls (p<0.01 for both). No significant difference between UA and AMI | Time of sampling not stated (presumably before angiography) Small numbers Diagnosis had already been made at time of enrolment |
Correlation between sCD40 levels and complex stenosis morphology on angiography | Positive correlation (r=0.60, p=0.003). | ||||
Garlichs et al 2001 Germany | 15 patients with AMI, 25 patients with UA, 15 matched patients with SA and 12 matched controls with atypical chest pain. All patients had undergone coronary angiography; all but the controls had at least one coronary stenosis >75%. | Prospective observational cohort | sCD40L levels | Higher in UA v. AMI (p<0.001); lower again in SA (p<0.001 v MI and UA) and in controls (p<0.001 v MI and UA; not significant v SA) | Patients identified for enrolment according to angiographic features - not clinically relevant sample. Small numbers. Timing of samples not stated (possibly after angiography, which may significantly bias the results). |
sCD40L levels at 6-month follow-up | Significantly lower in UA (p<0.001) and AMI (p<0.01). Patients who had a recurrent event had a significantly higher CD40L than those without (p<0.05) | ||||
Yan et al 2002 China | 12 patients with AMI, 20 with UA, 24 with SA and 16 controls. Method of identification and time of blood sampling not stated. | Prospective observational study | sCD40L levels | Higher in SA, UA and AMI compared with controls (no P value or confidence intervals) | Inclusion criteria not stated. No objective criteria for diagnosis of AMI Baseline characteristics not stated. Notably suboptimal statistical analysis. |
Aukrust et al 1999 Norway | 26 with UA and 29 matched patients with SA who underwent diagnostic angiography, plus 19 matched controls. | Prospective observational study | sCD40L levels | Significantly higher in UA v. controls (p<0.001) and UA v. SA (p<0.05). Higher in SA v. controls (no P value given). | Timing of blood samples not stated No follow-up or outcome data Small numbers |
Peng et al 2002 China | 80 cardiology in-patients, 15 with AMI, 12 with UA, 23 with SA and 30 controls (chest pain but normal angiography or supraventricular tachycardia for radio-ablation) | Prospective observational study | Plasma sCD40L levels | Higher in ACS than controls (p<0.01) and SA (p<0.05). No significant difference between UA and AMI | Blood sampling time not standardised. AMI patients had blood drawn "before thrombolysis" but were cardiology in-patients. No follow up |